Statement
of Shri D. Basu, Chairman of the Board of Directors
of the Securities Trading Corporation of India
Limited at the Ninth Annual General Meeting of
the Company held on September 28, 2005.
I have great pleasure in welcoming you all
to the Ninth Annual General Meeting of your Company.
The report of the Directors and the audited accounts
of the Company for the year ended March 31, 2005
have already been circulated and with your permission,
I would take them as read.
As you are
aware, 2004-05 has been a very difficult year
for participants in the fixed income securities
market in India. The pace at which the reversal
of interest rate cycle took place early in that
year left little time for the majority of market
participants particularly Primary Dealers who
by the very nature of their business maintain
sizeable trading stocks of Government Securities
to undertake portfolio adjustments to mitigate
the market risk arising out of upward movement
in interest rates. A series of developments beginning
May 2004, notably a sharp increase in international
crude prices followed by a jump in domestic inflation
rate, further contributed to adverse market sentiments.
Primary Dealers specially those with trading in
fixed income securities as their main activity
were the worst affected. Your Company being one
of the largest and most active Primary Dealers
was thus badly hit by the adverse market conditions
and I had dealt with this aspect at some length
in my statement to shareholders at last years
Annual General Meeting. Your Company ended the
year with a net loss for the first time since
its inception in 1994, the loss being of the order
of Rs.97.80 crore after taking into account deferred
tax credit. As mentioned in the Directors Report,
the loss arose mainly because of quick slashing
down of the Companys book size, even by incurring
losses, as a derisking exercise, once clear signs
of continuing interest rate uncertainty emerged.
The silver lining is that following derisking
of its portfolio, your Company has recorded uninterrupted
profitability on a quarterly basis since the third
quarter of 2004-05, even though at much lower
levels than in the past years. Despite low profitability,
a return to profitable working has ensured that
the Companys networth has been protected from
further erosion; in fact the networth has been
showing a slow but steady rise since the third
quarter of last year. The Companys capital adequacy
ratio stood at a high level of 70.67% as on March
31, 2005 which is far above the regulatory requirement
of 15%. The Company continues to enjoy top ratings
from credit rating agencies (P1+ or equivalent)
for its short term papers of maturities up to
one year.
Developments
and Outlook in the current year
After a phase of sharp interest rate volatility
last year, a degree of stability has since returned
to the market in the current financial year. Nevertheless,
rates continue to fluctuate, though in a narrower
range, making day to day trading a difficult proposition.
The global market continues to be worried about
monetary policy responses to continued growth
in the U.S. and certain other economies as well
as the impact of rising oil prices on growth,
inflation and inflationary expectations. These
concerns straddle the domestic market as well
which has additional worries arising from a high
government borrowing programme coupled with a
declining appetite for government paper from the
banking system which is experiencing a record
high level of credit off-take. There is no sign
yet of any sizeable alternate investor class emerging
that can substitute banks as investors in gilts.
All these factors point to a possible further
hardening of interest rates in the coming months.
In a scenario where interest rate is expected
to rise, profitable trading opportunities will
be few and far between especially when appropriate
hedging instruments are yet to be introduced and
short selling is still not permitted. Apart from
trading profits remaining low, interest earning
is also likely to suffer as it will be necessary
to hold down inventory levels to minimise valuation
risks in an uncertain and volatile environment.
One encouraging sign is that liquidity in the
system is expected to remain buoyant during the
year on the back of strong FII and ECB inflows
which gives some comfort on funding cost. Primary
Dealership business will thus continue to see
challenging times during the current financial
year too, even as it slowly creeps on a recovery
path after the battering it received last year.
As far as your Company is concerned, the strategy
that we have adopted for the current year is to
remain profitable, even if profits are low, and
avoid marked to market portfolio losses to the
extent possible, fulfilling at the same time the
role of a Primary Dealer as a participant in primary
auctions and a market maker in the secondary market
for government securities.
Future of Primary Dealership Business
I fully recognise that a strategy of remaining
barely profitable cannot be a viable commercial
approach in the medium to long term, for we must
aim at delivering reasonable return to our shareholders
on an ongoing basis something which we were able
to do in the past. We are, therefore, fully conscious
of the need to evolve a new enduring business
model which will be commercially viable in the
future. To this end, we have been making representations
to the Reserve Bank of India, for necessary regulatory
approval for diversifying into other products
and activities e.g. dealing in securities of selected
sovereign governments abroad and in equities in
the Indian market. Similarly, we have also sought
RBI permission for gaining presence in a few carefully
selected overseas markets active in gilts. We
have also been anxiously waiting for further reforms
in the government securities market in India such
as introduction of When Issued transactions and
short selling, without which it is not possible
for Primary Dealers to effectively manage risks
in their trading portfolio particularly at times
of uncertain interest rates. Another longstanding
request of the Primary Dealers has been the grant
of exclusive access to primary auctions. The good
news is that in his last Annual Monetary Policy
Statement in April 2005, the Governor, Reserve
Bank of India indicated that several of these
measures were under active consideration. Once
these changes are approved and made operational,
the business prospect of Primary Dealers will
become much clearer and it will then be possible
to envision your Companys future with greater
clarity. In this context, it is important to highlight
the possibility of Reserve Bank extending Primary
Dealership to commercial banks as well who may
be permitted to undertake this business directly
through dedicated departments as part of their
own balance sheets. This proposal was mooted in
the last Annual Monetary Policy Statement and
I believe is under close consideration of Reserve
Bank. If commercial banks are permitted to become
direct Primary Dealers under current regulations
banks can take up this business only through subsidiaries
or separately incorporated companies it can have
a major impact on the business and clientele of
stand-alone Primary Dealers like your Company.
The question arises whether in such a scenario,
there will still be enough scope for stand-alone
Primary Dealers to remain in business in a profitable
way. It is difficult to answer the question at
this stage and one would need to wait for the
unveiling of the new structure. Our fervent appeal
to Reserve Bank in the meantime is that whatever
be the new structure of Primary Dealership business
in India, there should be room for independent
and stand-alone entities like our Company which
is not an integral part of any bank, for they
do add a unique value by acting as focussed distributors,
market makers and traders of government securities
something which commercial banks, with their wide
ranging business portfolio, often find difficult
to do.
Acknowledgement
I take this opportunity to thank the Government
of India, the State Governments, the Reserve Bank
of India, Bank of India, other commercial and
cooperative banks, insurance companies, mutual
funds and other clients for their cooperation
and support. I would also like to acknowledge
the hard and committed work put in by the Companys
officers and staff during 2004-05 the most difficult
year the Company has faced since its inception
in 1994.
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